Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.004366 0.004592 0.004824 0.005080 0.005357 0.005646 0.005971
2025-11-23 0.003977 0.004308 0.004662 0.005072 0.005535 0.006044 0.006648
2025-11-30 0.003687 0.004071 0.004494 0.004998 0.005585 0.006254 0.007079
2025-12-07 0.003470 0.003889 0.004361 0.004936 0.005625 0.006432 0.007461
2025-12-14 0.003321 0.003770 0.004286 0.004928 0.005715 0.006660 0.007901
2025-12-21 0.003119 0.003576 0.004108 0.004781 0.005621 0.006652 0.008037
2025-12-28 0.003024 0.003502 0.004067 0.004795 0.005720 0.006880 0.008480
2026-01-04 0.002959 0.003460 0.004061 0.004846 0.005865 0.007170 0.009016
2026-01-11 0.002860 0.003372 0.003992 0.004813 0.005896 0.007308 0.009352
2026-01-18 0.002782 0.003304 0.003944 0.004804 0.005955 0.007483 0.009744
2026-01-25 0.002697 0.003224 0.003878 0.004766 0.005970 0.007597 0.010053
2026-02-01 0.002672 0.003220 0.003906 0.004851 0.006156 0.007952 0.010732
2026-02-08 0.002595 0.003147 0.003844 0.004815 0.006172 0.008072 0.011072
2026-02-15 0.002535 0.003093 0.003805 0.004808 0.006229 0.008250 0.011512
2026-02-22 0.002455 0.003010 0.003724 0.004739 0.006192 0.008289 0.011732
2026-03-01 0.002384 0.002937 0.003654 0.004682 0.006170 0.008347 0.011983
2026-03-08 0.002336 0.002893 0.003621 0.004674 0.006218 0.008510 0.012416
2026-03-15 0.002243 0.002786 0.003500 0.004538 0.006071 0.008366 0.012324
2026-03-22 0.002208 0.002757 0.003483 0.004550 0.006145 0.008568 0.012833
2026-03-29 0.002187 0.002746 0.003492 0.004598 0.006273 0.008861 0.013520
2026-04-05 0.002141 0.002699 0.003448 0.004568 0.006280 0.008958 0.013863
2026-04-12 0.002104 0.002664 0.003420 0.004559 0.006319 0.009110 0.014315
2026-04-19 0.002060 0.002617 0.003374 0.004523 0.006314 0.009187 0.014633